The Empty Wheel view of events is supplied and reminds it's only speculation. However, it represents an excellent effort to use facts to explain what happened over entire tragic night:
"To repeat, this is all a wildarsed guess. But I’m suggesting that it’s possible Bales went first to Alkozai and in a spray of gunfire killed 4 or 5 and wounded at least 5 more, then returned to the base, told others what he had done, and more followed him in helicopters to Najiban. That would explain the larger number of men described by Dawood’s children, how 11 people in 4 rooms were killed in Wazir’s home, and also how Bales was able to drag all 11 bodies to one room and attempt to burn them (though the timing is still short, given that Najiban is at least a mile from the base and Bales was reportedly gone just an hour total on that second trip). If some men followed Bales to join in the killing–rather than to find him, as the government claims–it might explain why they claim it took at least a half hour to search the FOB when what purportedly initiated the search was an Afghan guard telling the Americans one of their men had left the base (that is, the “search” story is a way to fudge the timing)."
Sergeant Robert Bales is receiving similar treatment as Private Bradley Manning nearly under total wrap. The security surrounding Bales reveals very sensitive and precarious nature of situation. The present writer cites reports Bales may not remember shooting, as indication of diminished capacity will likely be most acceptable course for all parties--but is it the truth? Is Bales' lack of recall an indication of something else? From this early perspective, lone killer story seems unlikely to hold up with multiple witness accounts of more soldiers and prior threats.
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